Here is my full National Hunt Message that members received today – if you like what you see follow the link on the page to join up.

National Hunt Message for Sat 9 Oct 2010

COURSE FAVOURITE STATS NATIONAL HUNT – this is a section looking at the stats for favourites at courses in certain race types

Bangor-On-Dee favourites

Race type Wins Bets SR % Profit ROI % Race times
handicap chases 25 101 24.8 -£15.12 -15.0 3.30, 4.40
novice / beginner chases 23 53 43.4 -£6.97 -13.2 5.15
handicap hurdles 21 104 20.2 -£31.38 -30.2 2.55
novice hurdles 47 95 49.5 +£1.15 +1.2 2.25, 4.05
bumpers 13 27 48.2 +£11.55 +42.8 5.50

Chepstow favourites

Race type Wins Bets SR % Profit ROI % Race times
handicap chases 30 113 26.6 -£7.76 -6.9 5.10
novice / beginner chases 20 45 44.4 -£1.16 -2.6 3.25
handicap hurdles 17 80 21.3 -£13.63 -17.0 4.00, 4.35
non handicap hurdles 55 138 39.9 -£13.30 -9.6 2.20
novice hurdles 31 68 45.6 -£4.76 -7.0 2.50
bumpers 17 40 42.5 +£3.65 +9.1 5.45

Hexham favourites

Race type Wins Bets SR % Profit ROI % Race times
handicap chases 20 83 24.1 -£11.92 -14.4 3.10, 4.55
novice / beginner chases 22 39 56.4 +£8.38 +21.5 2.00, 2.35
handicap hurdles 16 82 19.5 -£23.95 -29.2 3.45
non handicap hurdles 50 111 45.1 -£7.09 -6.4 4.20
bumpers 11 29 37.9 -£3.07 -10.6 5.30

POSITIVE STATS – (TRAINER / SIRE / DRAW)

Please note – some are price** or going* dependent

2.55    Bangor-On-Dee – Blazing Desert: JJ Quinn hurdles at Bangor (7 wins, 7 placed from 15) SR 46.7%; ROI +110.3%

5.15    Bangor-On-Dee – Robinson Collonges: P Nicholls – 5 and 6yo male french breds in novice chases; SR 41%; ROI +10.6%

4.35    Chepstow – Tarvini **: J O’ Neill handicap hurdles (exc. novice handicaps) aged 4 to 7 top 4 in the betting SR 24.4%; ROI +19.5%

5.10    Chepstow – Ballycarney **: Miss E Lavelle – handicap chases; male runners priced 16/1 or shorter; SR 21%; ROI +46.2%

5.10    Chepstow – Ballycarney **: Miss E Lavelle in October; must be top 2 in the betting; SR 50%; ROI +94.8%

5.10    Chepstow – Beat The Boys **: N Twiston-Davies in October – male chasers off track for 150+ days; must be top 4 of the betting; SR 32.7%; ROI +45.6%

3.10    Hexham – Stagecoach Amber **: Mrs S Smith – handicap chases; off track between 10 and 50 days; aged 6 to 10; must be priced 16/1 or shorter in betting; SR 18.8%; ROI +32%

4.20    Hexham – Errington: J Howard Johnson – October to December; hurdle races; off track for 3 months or more; SR 24.3%; ROI +37.7%

4.20    Hexham – Errington * **: Positive Sire Stats – Karinga Bay males on soft/heavy going; must be top 2 in the betting also SR 40.3%; ROI 51.2%

4.20    Hexham – Monogram * **: Positive Sire Stats – Karinga Bay males on soft/heavy going; must be top 2 in the betting also SR 40.3%; ROI 51.2%

NEGATIVE STATS – Please note – some are price** or going* dependent

5.50    Bangor-On-Dee – Fiddlededee **: Poor jockey stat – A Mc Coy in bumpers; horses priced 5/1 or bigger SR 2.7%; ROI -80.3%

2.00    Hexham – Kellystown Lad: Poor trainer stat – Ferdy Murphy in October; horse off the track for 3 months+ SR 4.3%; ROI -84.4%

4.55    Hexham – Reckless Venture **: Poor trainer stat – Miss Lucinda Russell with horses returning to track within 10 days EXCLUDING favourites; SR 3.7%; ROI -66%

5.30    Hexham – Katie’s Prince: Poor trainer stat – C Grant runners on debut; SR 0% ROI -100% (0 from 106)

POOR VALUE LAST TIME OUT WINNER – The idea in this section is to find horses that won LTO that perform poorly in comparison to all LTO winners. The stats for all LTO winners in NH races the strike rate (SR) is 19.3% and losses are -14.8%. These are my benchmarks.

5.45    Chepstow – Royal Scoundrel: Poor LTO 1st stat – NH racing; won LTO; off the track for over 1 year; SR 9.3%; SR -40.5%

PACE INFORMATION – the figures for NH races vary slightly in comparison to the flat ones. For flat races I use 10+runner handicaps only. For NH, all race types are considered, and all races are considered (regardless of the number of runners). As with the flat, the average figure for each group should be 1.0.

Course and time FR RUNN PROM HELD UP Distance and race type
Bangor-On-Dee 2.25 1.7 1.6 0.5 2m 4f – 2m 5f non handicap hurdles
Bangor-On-Dee 2.55 1.8 1.0 0.9 2m – 2m1f handicap hurdles
Bangor-On-Dee 3.30 1.6 0.9 0.9 2m – 2m1f handicap chases
Bangor-On-Dee 4.05 2.3 1.6 0.3 2m – 2m1f non handicap hurdles
Bangor-On-Dee 4.40 1.3 1.0 1.0 3m – 3m1f handicap chases
Bangor-On-Dee 5.15 1.5 1.1 0.7 2m 4f – 2m 5f non handicap chases
Chepstow 2.20, 2.50 1.8 1.5 0.5 2m – 2m1f non handicap hurdles
Chepstow 3.25 1.9 1.0 0.8 3m – 3m1f non handicap chases
Chepstow 4.00 2.3 0.8 0.8 2m – 2m1f handicap hurdles
Chepstow 4.35 1.5 1.6 0.5 2m 4f – 2m 5f handicap hurdles
Chepstow 5.10 1.8 1.1 0.8 3m – 3m1f handicap chases
Hexham 2.00, 2.35 1.7 1.4 0.1 2m – 2m1f non handicap chases
Hexham 3.10 1.6 1.1 0.7 2m 4f – 2m 5f handicap chases
Hexham 3.45 0.3 1.6 0.6 3m – 3m1f handicap hurdles
Hexham 4.20 0.7 1.4 0.7 2m 4f – 2m 5f non handicap hurdles
Hexham 4.55 3.6 1.1 0.3 3m – 3m1f handicap chases

Bangor-On-Dee 4.05 – A solid advantage to front runners over this C&D. Taken as a whole, hold up horses have a very poor record.

Chepstow 2.20 / 2.50 – Hold up horses have a very moderate record over this C&D, so there is an advantage to lead, or race close to the pace.

Chepstow 4.00 – There is an edge to front runners over this trip.

Here are the ratings for this race:

Rougham                            5.0

Westlin’ Winds                     4.3

Prince Pippin                        3.4

Barwell Bridge                     3.0

Olofi                                  2.8

George Nympton                  2.7

Troubletimestwo                   2.2

Escort’men                          1.5

Conclusion – Rougham is the pace value while Westlin’ Winds should not be dismissed from trading calculations.

Chepstow 5.10 – An advantage to front runners over this C&D, and from an ‘in running’ perspective one would hope to gain some value.

Here are the ratings for this race:

Gullible Gordon                     4.8

Mount Oscar                        3.6

Ballycarney                         3.5

Dom D’Orgeval                    3.4

Beat The Boys                     3.4

Templer                              3.2

Cullahill                               3.0

Ellerslie George                    2.8

Le Beau Bai                         1.8

Postmaster                         1.8

Tempsford                          1.5

Conclusion –  Gullible Gordon is clearly the pace pick so should be value pre race and “in running”.

Hexham 2.00 / 2.35- Hold up horses score less than half as often as they should, so there is a definite advantage to lead, and less so for those that race close to the pace.

Hexham 4.55 – One of the stronger front running biases. Front runners have an excellent record, while hold up horses tend to struggle.

Here are the ratings for this race:

Reckless Venture                  4.0

Adrianeo                             4.0

Murphys Beau                      3.0

Benbeoch                            2.8

Dougall                               2.0

Panthers Run                       1.8

Sierra Victor                        1.6

Conclusion – Reckless Venture and Adrianeo offer the pace / trading value here.

Horses mentioned in 2 or more sections –

5.10    Chepstow – Ballycarney (must be top 2 in the betting to qualify)

4.20    Hexham – Errington (must be top 2 in the betting to qualify AND be going to be soft or heavy)

RECENT TRAINER FORM – NH (last 14 days exc. Friday) – in strike rate order

Name Wins Runs Strike rate (%) Placed Win & Placed Win & Placed % Engagements
A J Honeyball 2 6 33.3 2 4 66.7 Chep 5.45
Ian Williams 1 3 33.3 0 1 33.3 Bang 2.55
M A Barnes 3 9 33.3 0 3 33.3 Bang 2.55, Hexh 5.30
Mrs L B Normile 1 3 33.3 1 2 66.7 Hexh 3.10, Hexh 4.20
Mrs L Wadham 1 3 33.3 1 2 66.7 Bang 4.40
Mrs S Gardner 1 3 33.3 0 1 33.3 Chep 5.45
P J Hobbs 4 12 33.3 3 7 58.3 Bang 2.25, Bang 2.55, Bang 4.40, Bang 5.50, Chep 2.50, Chep 3.25, Chep 4.00, Chep 4.35, Chep 5.10, Chep 5.45
N A Twiston-Davies 8 26 30.8 7 15 57.7 Bang 2.25, Bang 4.40, Bang 5.15, Bang 5.50, Chep 5.10
J J Quinn 1 4 25.0 0 1 25.0 Bang 2.55
O Sherwood 1 4 25.0 1 2 50.0 Chep 2.50
S R B Crawford 1 4 25.0 0 1 25.0 Hexh 3.45, Hexh 3.45, Hexh 4.55
T R George 1 4 25.0 2 3 75.0 Bang 2.55, Bang 3.30, Chep 4.00, Chep 4.35
P R Webber 2 9 22.2 3 5 55.6 Bang 3.30, Bang 4.40, Bang 5.15
Evan Williams 3 15 20.0 4 7 46.7 Bang 2.25, Chep 2.20, Chep 4.35, Chep 5.10
K C Bailey 1 5 20.0 0 1 20.0 Bang 4.05, Bang 4.05
W K Goldsworthy 1 5 20.0 1 2 40.0 Chep 2.50
Mrs R Dobbin 1 6 16.7 0 1 16.7 Hexh 3.10
M F Harris 2 13 15.4 2 4 30.8 Bang 4.05, Bang 5.50, Chep 2.20, Chep 4.35
Andrew Turnell 1 7 14.3 1 2 28.6 Chep 2.50
C Grant 1 7 14.3 2 3 42.9 Hexh 5.30
N J Henderson 1 7 14.3 1 2 28.6 Bang 5.50, Chep 3.25
Tim Vaughan 2 17 11.8 4 6 35.3 Hexh 4.20
D McCain Jnr 2 18 11.1 3 5 27.8 Bang 2.25, Bang 2.55, Bang 3.30, Bang 4.05, Bang 5.15, Bang 5.50, Hexh 2.00, Hexh 2.35, Hexh 3.45, Hexh 5.30
Mrs S J Smith 1 10 10.0 0 1 10.0 Hexh 3.10, Hexh 3.10, Hexh 3.45, Hexh 4.20, Hexh 5.30
Ferdy Murphy 1 14 7.1 2 3 21.4 Hexh 2.00, Hexh 2.35, Hexh 4.20
Jonjo O’Neill 2 28 7.1 7 9 32.1 Bang 4.05, Bang 4.05, Bang 4.40, Bang 5.50, Chep 3.25, Chep 4.35, Chep 5.10
J M Jefferson 1 18 5.6 4 5 27.8 Bang 4.40, Bang 5.50, Hexh 5.30
P Bowen 1 19 5.3 3 4 21.1 Bang 4.40, Chep 5.45
A C Whillans 0 4 0.0 0 0 0.0 Hexh 3.10, Hexh 3.45
A King 0 4 0.0 3 3 75.0 Bang 5.15, Chep 2.20
C L Tizzard 0 5 0.0 1 1 20.0 Chep 2.50, Chep 5.10, Chep 5.45, Chep 5.45
D Pipe 0 16 0.0 7 7 43.8 Bang 3.30
F P Murtagh 0 5 0.0 0 0 0.0 Hexh 3.10
J Howard Johnson 0 11 0.0 1 1 9.1 Hexh 2.00, Hexh 4.20, Hexh 4.20
J R Cornwall 0 4 0.0 0 0 0.0 Bang 3.30, Bang 5.15
J S Wainwright 0 4 0.0 0 0 0.0 Hexh 3.45, Hexh 5.30
M Keighley 0 6 0.0 0 0 0.0 Bang 2.55
M Mullineaux 0 5 0.0 0 0 0.0 Bang 5.50
M Todhunter 0 13 0.0 4 4 30.8 Hexh 3.10, Hexh 3.45
Miss E C Lavelle 0 8 0.0 3 3 37.5 Chep 5.10, Chep 5.45
Miss Lucinda V Russell 0 13 0.0 2 2 15.4 Bang 3.30, Hexh 3.10, Hexh 3.45, Hexh 3.45, Hexh 4.20, Hexh 4.55
Mrs S C Bradburne 0 5 0.0 0 0 0.0 Hexh 3.10
N G Richards 0 5 0.0 0 0 0.0 Bang 5.50, Hexh 4.20, Hexh 4.20
N P Mulholland 0 9 0.0 1 1 11.1 Bang 4.40, Chep 4.35
P F Nicholls 0 4 0.0 3 3 75.0 Bang 2.25, Bang 4.05, Bang 5.15, Chep 2.20, Chep 2.50, Chep 3.25, Chep 4.00, Chep 4.35, Chep 5.10, Chep 5.45
P Griffin 0 5 0.0 1 1 20.0 Hexh 4.20
P Monteith 0 9 0.0 1 1 11.1 Hexh 2.35, Hexh 4.55
R C Guest 0 6 0.0 0 0 0.0 Hexh 3.10
R Dickin 0 6 0.0 0 0 0.0 Bang 2.55, Bang 4.05, Bang 5.50

COURSE TRAINER STATS NH

Bangor-On-Dee trainer stats ALL RACES 2005 – Thursday 7th Oct 2010 (ordered by strike rate – min 3 runs or 1 win)

Trainer Wins Runs Strike Rate (%) Profit ROI (%) Engagements
J J Quinn 8 22 36.4 +£22.54 +102.5 2.55
J S Goldie 3 9 33.3 +£23.50 +261.1 2.55, 3.30
M A Barnes 1 3 33.3 +£7.00 +233.3 2.55
Mrs Caroline Keevil 1 3 33.3 +£1.50 +50.0 4.40
P J Hobbs 21 82 25.6 +£6.31 +7.7 2.25, 2.55, 4.40, 5.50
A King 24 106 22.6 -£8.80 -8.3 5.15
N J Henderson 11 49 22.5 -£7.73 -15.8 5.50
N G Richards 8 39 20.5 +£9.75 +25.0 5.50
Mrs L Wadham 1 6 16.7 +£5.00 +83.3 4.40
Jonjo O’Neill 33 202 16.3 -£76.05 -37.6 4.05, 4.05, 4.40, 5.50
M F Harris 5 32 15.6 +£29.00 +90.6 4.05, 5.50
B J M Ryall 2 13 15.4 +£14.00 +107.7 4.40
T R George 5 33 15.2 -£10.25 -31.1 2.55, 3.30
P F Nicholls 6 40 15.0 -£16.29 -40.7 2.25, 4.05, 5.15
N A Twiston-Davies 12 81 14.8 -£41.29 -51.0 2.25, 4.40, 5.15, 5.50
H D Daly 10 68 14.7 +£21.36 +31.4 5.15
P Bowen 11 85 12.9 -£17.08 -20.1 4.40
D McCain Jnr 35 276 12.7 -£129.92 -47.1 2.25, 2.55, 3.30, 4.05, 5.15, 5.50
Ian Williams 10 79 12.7 -£9.30 -11.8 2.55
Miss Lucinda V Russell 2 16 12.5 +£2.00 +12.5 3.30
P R Webber 5 41 12.2 -£10.75 -26.2 3.30, 4.40, 5.15
M Keighley 2 17 11.8 -£8.25 -48.5 2.55
J M Jefferson 4 40 10.0 -£15.50 -38.8 4.40, 5.50
R Lee 3 30 10.0 -£19.15 -63.8 2.55
D Pipe 7 72 9.7 -£14.50 -20.1 3.30
R Hollinshead 2 23 8.7 +£32.00 +139.1 4.05
Evan Williams 7 91 7.7 -£51.35 -56.4 2.25
J S Smith 1 13 7.7 -£6.50 -50.0 4.40
J R Cornwall 1 14 7.1 -£8.00 -57.1 3.30, 5.15
R Dickin 1 15 6.7 -£10.00 -66.7 2.55, 4.05, 5.50
Mrs Caroline Bailey 1 16 6.3 -£13.25 -82.8 2.25, 4.40
K C Bailey 2 34 5.9 -£27.38 -80.5 4.05, 4.05
M Sheppard 1 21 4.8 -£16.50 -78.6 3.30

Bangor-On-Dee trainer stats ALL HURDLES 2005 – Thursday 7th Oct 2010 (ordered by strike rate – min 3 runs or 1 win)

Trainer Wins Runs Strike Rate (%) Profit ROI (%) Engagements
J J Quinn 7 16 43.8 +£15.54 +97.1 2.55
J S Goldie 3 8 37.5 +£24.50 +306.3 2.55, 3.30
J S Smith 1 4 25.0 +£2.50 +62.5 4.40
Miss Lucinda V Russell 1 4 25.0 +£7.00 +175.0 3.30
Mrs L Wadham 1 4 25.0 +£7.00 +175.0 4.40
P J Hobbs 11 45 24.4 -£2.11 -4.7 2.25, 2.55, 4.40, 5.50
R Lee 2 10 20.0 -£4.15 -41.5 2.55
P Bowen 9 48 18.8 +£6.55 +13.6 4.40
J M Jefferson 3 17 17.7 +£4.50 +26.5 4.40, 5.50
N G Richards 5 29 17.2 +£1.75 +6.0 5.50
N J Henderson 5 29 17.2 -£13.97 -48.2 5.50
M F Harris 4 24 16.7 +£27.50 +114.6 4.05, 5.50
R Dickin 1 6 16.7 -£1.00 -16.7 2.55, 4.05, 5.50
P F Nicholls 3 19 15.8 -£3.17 -16.7 2.25, 4.05, 5.15
H D Daly 4 28 14.3 +£22.11 +79.0 5.15
Jonjo O’Neill 15 105 14.3 -£47.73 -45.5 4.05, 4.05, 4.40, 5.50
A King 9 67 13.4 -£30.52 -45.6 5.15
D McCain Jnr 22 186 11.8 -£103.54 -55.7 2.25, 2.55, 3.30, 4.05, 5.15, 5.50
R Hollinshead 2 17 11.8 +£38.00 +223.5 4.05
Ian Williams 6 56 10.7 -£13.50 -24.1 2.55
K C Bailey 2 19 10.5 -£12.38 -65.1 4.05, 4.05
N A Twiston-Davies 4 40 10.0 -£28.04 -70.1 2.25, 4.40, 5.15, 5.50
P R Webber 2 20 10.0 -£8.00 -40.0 3.30, 4.40, 5.15
D Pipe 4 45 8.9 -£8.00 -17.8 3.30
M Sheppard 1 12 8.3 -£7.50 -62.5 3.30
T R George 1 12 8.3 -£3.00 -25.0 2.55, 3.30
Evan Williams 5 63 7.9 -£50.35 -79.9 2.25

Bangor-On-Dee trainer stats ALL CHASES 2005 – Thursday 7th Oct 2010 (ordered by strike rate – min 3 runs or 1 win)

Trainer Wins Runs Strike Rate (%) Profit ROI (%) Engagements
M A Barnes 1 1 100.0 +£9.00 +900.0 2.55
Mrs Caroline Keevil 1 2 50.0 +£2.50 +125.0 4.40
A King 11 27 40.7 +£13.22 +49.0 5.15
P J Hobbs 9 31 29.0 +£11.67 +37.7 2.25, 2.55, 4.40, 5.50
N G Richards 2 7 28.6 +£6.00 +85.7 5.50
M Keighley 2 8 25.0 +£0.75 +9.4 2.55
N J Henderson 2 10 20.0 -£4.00 -40.0 5.50
T R George 4 20 20.0 -£6.25 -31.3 2.55, 3.30
Jonjo O’Neill 18 93 19.4 -£24.32 -26.1 4.05, 4.05, 4.40, 5.50
Ian Williams 4 21 19.1 +£6.21 +29.5 2.55
H D Daly 5 27 18.5 +£3.25 +12.0 5.15
P R Webber 3 17 17.7 +£1.25 +7.4 3.30, 4.40, 5.15
B J M Ryall 2 12 16.7 +£15.00 +125.0 4.40
J J Quinn 1 6 16.7 +£7.00 +116.7 2.55
P F Nicholls 3 18 16.7 -£10.13 -56.3 2.25, 4.05, 5.15
N A Twiston-Davies 5 31 16.1 -£15.50 -50.0 2.25, 4.40, 5.15, 5.50
M F Harris 1 7 14.3 +£2.50 +35.7 4.05, 5.50
D McCain Jnr 9 66 13.6 -£15.38 -23.3 2.25, 2.55, 3.30, 4.05, 5.15, 5.50
Mrs Caroline Bailey 1 10 10.0 -£7.25 -72.5 2.25, 4.40
D Pipe 2 24 8.3 -£12.50 -52.1 3.30
J R Cornwall 1 12 8.3 -£6.00 -50.0 3.30, 5.15
Miss Lucinda V Russell 1 12 8.3 -£5.00 -41.7 3.30
Evan Williams 2 26 7.7 +£1.00 +3.8 2.25
J M Jefferson 1 15 6.7 -£12.00 -80.0 4.40, 5.50
R Lee 1 20 5.0 -£15.00 -75.0 2.55
P Bowen 1 32 3.1 -£29.63 -92.6 4.40

Chepstow trainer stats ALL RACES 2005 – Thursday 7th Oct 2010 (ordered by strike rate – min 3 runs or 1 win)

Trainer Wins Runs Strike Rate (%) Profit ROI (%) Engagements
D W P Arbuthnot 2 5 40.0 +£3.83 +76.7 5.45
N J Henderson 7 31 22.6 +£1.13 +3.6 3.25
M F Harris 6 27 22.2 +£50.00 +185.2 2.20, 4.35
P F Nicholls 56 255 22.0 -£51.20 -20.1 2.20, 2.50, 3.25, 4.00, 4.35, 5.10, 5.45
Nick Williams 7 34 20.6 +£36.20 +106.5 4.00, 4.35, 5.10
A G Newcombe 1 5 20.0 +£2.50 +50.0 5.45
J L Flint 3 15 20.0 £0.00 +0.0 4.35
Simon Earle 1 5 20.0 +£12.00 +240.0 2.50
W K Goldsworthy 5 27 18.5 +£26.13 +96.8 2.50
Miss E C Lavelle 6 34 17.7 -£7.42 -21.8 5.10, 5.45
P J Hobbs 34 196 17.4 +£4.61 +2.3 2.50, 3.25, 4.00, 4.35, 5.10, 5.45
T R George 8 50 16.0 -£2.88 -5.8 4.00, 4.35
A King 20 128 15.6 -£29.31 -22.9 2.20
D A Rees 4 26 15.4 -£1.00 -3.8 2.20
W J Greatrex 1 7 14.3 -£2.67 -38.1 4.00
C L Tizzard 19 135 14.1 -£5.63 -4.2 2.50, 5.10, 5.45, 5.45
O Sherwood 4 34 11.8 -£20.53 -60.4 2.50
B J Llewellyn 8 70 11.4 +£49.08 +70.1 2.20
N A Twiston-Davies 18 162 11.1 -£77.75 -48.0 5.10
Jonjo O’Neill 15 144 10.4 -£72.22 -50.2 3.25, 4.35, 5.10
P Bowen 6 68 8.8 -£38.92 -57.2 5.45
A J Honeyball 1 12 8.3 +£1.00 +8.3 5.45
J G Portman 2 25 8.0 -£11.50 -46.0 5.45
Evan Williams 13 176 7.4 -£61.13 -34.7 2.20, 4.35, 5.10
Mrs S Gardner 1 15 6.7 -£11.00 -73.3 5.45
R Lee 5 77 6.5 -£31.50 -40.9 2.50, 5.10
R H Buckler 3 50 6.0 -£19.75 -39.5 3.25, 5.10
A W Carroll 2 52 3.9 -£32.00 -61.5 4.00, 4.35, 4.35, 5.45
Andrew Turnell 1 28 3.6 -£22.50 -80.4 2.50
J G M O’Shea 2 72 2.8 -£46.00 -63.9 5.45

Chepstow trainer stats ALL HURDLES 2005 – Thursday 7th Oct 2010 (ordered by strike rate – min 3 runs or 1 win)

Trainer Wins Runs Strike Rate (%) Profit ROI (%) Engagements
Nick Williams 5 13 38.5 +£46.20 +355.4 4.00, 4.35, 5.10
M F Harris 5 16 31.3 +£50.00 +312.5 2.20, 4.35
T R George 7 27 25.9 +£17.13 +63.4 4.00, 4.35
D W P Arbuthnot 1 4 25.0 +£3.00 +75.0 5.45
Miss E C Lavelle 3 15 20.0 -£2.92 -19.5 5.10, 5.45
Simon Earle 1 5 20.0 +£12.00 +240.0 2.50
W J Greatrex 1 5 20.0 -£0.67 -13.4 4.00
W K Goldsworthy 3 15 20.0 -£1.38 -9.2 2.50
P F Nicholls 28 143 19.6 -£28.25 -19.8 2.20, 2.50, 3.25, 4.00, 4.35, 5.10, 5.45
A King 15 84 17.9 -£8.56 -10.2 2.20
P J Hobbs 21 122 17.2 +£3.76 +3.1 2.50, 3.25, 4.00, 4.35, 5.10, 5.45
N J Henderson 3 19 15.8 -£2.00 -10.5 3.25
C L Tizzard 6 40 15.0 +£8.25 +20.6 2.50, 5.10, 5.45, 5.45
J L Flint 1 7 14.3 -£1.50 -21.4 4.35
O Sherwood 2 14 14.3 -£6.78 -48.4 2.50
P Bowen 4 35 11.4 -£19.25 -55.0 5.45
N A Twiston-Davies 9 79 11.4 -£37.38 -47.3 5.10
Mrs S Gardner 1 9 11.1 -£5.00 -55.6 5.45
Jonjo O’Neill 7 82 8.5 -£45.27 -55.2 3.25, 4.35, 5.10
Evan Williams 9 108 8.3 -£15.00 -13.9 2.20, 4.35, 5.10
B J Llewellyn 4 50 8.0 +£33.33 +66.7 2.20
R Lee 2 25 8.0 -£6.50 -26.0 2.50, 5.10
R H Buckler 1 23 4.4 -£6.00 -26.1 3.25, 5.10
J G M O’Shea 2 53 3.8 -£27.00 -50.9 5.45
A W Carroll 1 39 2.6 -£32.00 -82.1 4.00, 4.35, 4.35, 5.45

Chepstow trainer stats ALL CHASES 2005 – Thursday 7th Oct 2010 (ordered by strike rate – min 3 runs or 1 win)

Trainer Wins Runs Strike Rate (%) Profit ROI (%) Engagements
D W P Arbuthnot 1 1 100.0 +£0.83 +83.3 5.45
J L Flint 2 6 33.3 +£3.50 +58.3 4.35
N J Henderson 2 6 33.3 +£1.63 +27.1 3.25
D A Rees 4 15 26.7 +£10.00 +66.7 2.20
P F Nicholls 18 83 21.7 -£19.68 -23.7 2.20, 2.50, 3.25, 4.00, 4.35, 5.10, 5.45
B J Llewellyn 4 19 21.1 +£16.75 +88.2 2.20
P J Hobbs 12 63 19.1 +£6.35 +10.1 2.50, 3.25, 4.00, 4.35, 5.10, 5.45
C L Tizzard 12 70 17.1 +£7.38 +10.5 2.50, 5.10, 5.45, 5.45
J G Portman 2 12 16.7 +£1.50 +12.5 5.45
A King 4 25 16.0 -£6.25 -25.0 2.20
Jonjo O’Neill 7 44 15.9 -£11.33 -25.7 3.25, 4.35, 5.10
Miss E C Lavelle 2 13 15.4 -£3.00 -23.1 5.10, 5.45
W K Goldsworthy 1 8 12.5 +£26.00 +325.0 2.50
A W Carroll 1 10 10.0 +£3.00 +30.0 4.00, 4.35, 4.35, 5.45
M F Harris 1 10 10.0 +£1.00 +10.0 2.20, 4.35
Nick Williams 2 21 9.5 -£10.00 -47.6 4.00, 4.35, 5.10
R H Buckler 2 22 9.1 -£8.75 -39.8 3.25, 5.10
N A Twiston-Davies 5 61 8.2 -£32.75 -53.7 5.10
P Bowen 2 25 8.0 -£11.67 -46.7 5.45
O Sherwood 1 14 7.1 -£11.25 -80.4 2.50
Evan Williams 4 57 7.0 -£35.13 -61.6 2.20, 4.35, 5.10
Andrew Turnell 1 16 6.3 -£10.50 -65.6 2.50
R Lee 3 49 6.1 -£22.00 -44.9 2.50, 5.10
T R George 1 17 5.9 -£14.00 -82.4 4.00, 4.35

Hexham trainer stats ALL RACES 2005 – Thursday 7th Oct 2010 (ordered by strike rate – min 3 runs or 1 win)

Trainer Wins Runs Strike Rate (%) Profit ROI (%) Engagements
S R B Crawford 1 2 50.0 +£0.25 +12.5 3.45, 3.45, 4.55
Tim Vaughan 4 19 21.1 -£11.28 -59.4 4.20
G A Swinbank 8 40 20.0 -£17.72 -44.3 2.00, 2.35, 5.30
N G Richards 17 96 17.7 -£15.18 -15.8 4.20, 4.20
J Howard Johnson 24 143 16.8 -£12.88 -9.0 2.00, 4.20, 4.20
Mrs S J Smith 23 142 16.2 +£37.08 +26.1 3.10, 3.10, 3.45, 4.20, 5.30
D McCain Jnr 12 79 15.2 -£30.76 -38.9 2.00, 2.35, 3.45, 5.30
J M Jefferson 15 99 15.2 -£24.39 -24.6 5.30
Ferdy Murphy 18 120 15.0 -£31.82 -26.5 2.00, 2.35, 4.20
Mrs R Dobbin 1 8 12.5 -£5.25 -65.6 3.10
Mrs L B Normile 5 45 11.1 +£65.75 +146.1 3.10, 4.20
P Monteith 8 72 11.1 -£11.70 -16.2 2.35, 4.55
T D Walford 3 27 11.1 -£9.25 -34.3 2.35
M Todhunter 13 121 10.7 -£40.58 -33.5 3.10, 3.45
A C Whillans 6 57 10.5 +£10.25 +18.0 3.10, 3.45
Miss Lucinda V Russell 15 145 10.3 -£50.68 -34.9 3.10, 3.45, 3.45, 4.20, 4.55
Miss L Harrison 1 10 10.0 -£7.25 -72.5 3.45, 4.20
M A Barnes 9 94 9.6 +£125.13 +133.1 5.30
W Amos 3 33 9.1 +£16.50 +50.0 4.20
Mrs S C Bradburne 3 35 8.6 -£20.25 -57.9 3.10
C Grant 4 47 8.5 -£15.00 -31.9 5.30
R C Guest 9 109 8.3 -£68.03 -62.4 3.10
Mrs K Walton 4 57 7.0 -£38.25 -67.1 4.55
R Nixon 4 58 6.9 -£28.13 -48.5 3.10, 3.45
A Crook 1 18 5.6 -£1.00 -5.6 2.35
J C Haynes 1 29 3.5 -£18.00 -62.1 4.55
F P Murtagh 1 65 1.5 -£60.50 -93.1 3.10

Hexham trainer stats ALL HURDLES 2005 – Thursday 7th Oct 2010 (ordered by strike rate – min 3 runs or 1 win)

Trainer Wins Runs Strike Rate (%) Profit ROI (%) Engagements
Tim Vaughan 3 13 23.1 -£6.50 -50.0 4.20
G A Swinbank 4 20 20.0 -£13.05 -65.3 2.00, 2.35, 5.30
J Howard Johnson 17 92 18.5 +£9.17 +10.0 2.00, 4.20, 4.20
Ferdy Murphy 10 57 17.5 -£21.15 -37.1 2.00, 2.35, 4.20
N G Richards 11 64 17.2 -£8.76 -13.7 4.20, 4.20
Mrs S J Smith 12 70 17.1 +£15.33 +21.9 3.10, 3.10, 3.45, 4.20, 5.30
Mrs R Dobbin 1 6 16.7 -£3.25 -54.2 3.10
Miss L Harrison 1 7 14.3 -£4.25 -60.7 3.45, 4.20
D McCain Jnr 7 53 13.2 -£24.27 -45.8 2.00, 2.35, 3.45, 5.30
C Grant 3 24 12.5 -£1.00 -4.2 5.30
M A Barnes 9 72 12.5 +£147.13 +204.3 5.30
Mrs S C Bradburne 1 9 11.1 -£3.00 -33.3 3.10
J M Jefferson 6 56 10.7 -£35.99 -64.3 5.30
P Monteith 3 28 10.7 -£2.30 -8.2 2.35, 4.55
Mrs L B Normile 2 19 10.5 -£7.75 -40.8 3.10, 4.20
A C Whillans 3 33 9.1 +£7.50 +22.7 3.10, 3.45
T D Walford 1 11 9.1 -£2.00 -18.2 2.35
Miss Lucinda V Russell 5 66 7.6 -£44.68 -67.7 3.10, 3.45, 3.45, 4.20, 4.55
R C Guest 4 57 7.0 -£39.90 -70.0 3.10
M Todhunter 5 72 6.9 -£30.83 -42.8 3.10, 3.45
Mrs K Walton 2 30 6.7 -£20.75 -69.2 4.55
W Amos 1 17 5.9 -£9.50 -55.9 4.20
R Nixon 1 34 2.9 -£28.00 -82.4 3.10, 3.45

Hexham trainer stats ALL CHASES 2005 – Thursday 7th Oct 2010 (ordered by strike rate – min 3 runs or 1 win)

Trainer Wins Runs Strike Rate (%) Profit ROI (%) Engagements
A Crook 1 3 33.3 +£14.00 +466.7 2.35
J M Jefferson 7 27 25.9 +£5.60 +20.7 5.30
D McCain Jnr 4 16 25.0 +£1.90 +11.9 2.00, 2.35, 3.45, 5.30
N G Richards 5 25 20.0 -£2.42 -9.7 4.20, 4.20
M Todhunter 8 46 17.4 -£6.75 -14.7 3.10, 3.45
T D Walford 2 12 16.7 -£3.25 -27.1 2.35
Tim Vaughan 1 6 16.7 -£4.78 -79.6 4.20
A C Whillans 3 20 15.0 +£6.75 +33.8 3.10, 3.45
R Nixon 3 20 15.0 +£3.88 +19.4 3.10, 3.45
Mrs S J Smith 8 56 14.3 +£24.00 +42.9 3.10, 3.10, 3.45, 4.20, 5.30
Miss Lucinda V Russell 10 71 14.1 +£2.00 +2.8 3.10, 3.45, 3.45, 4.20, 4.55
Mrs L B Normile 3 22 13.6 +£77.50 +352.3 3.10, 4.20
P Monteith 5 42 11.9 -£7.40 -17.6 2.35, 4.55
J Howard Johnson 4 34 11.8 -£20.45 -60.2 2.00, 4.20, 4.20
Ferdy Murphy 6 54 11.1 -£9.50 -17.6 2.00, 2.35, 4.20
R C Guest 5 48 10.4 -£24.13 -50.3 3.10
Mrs K Walton 2 20 10.0 -£10.50 -52.5 4.55
C Grant 1 13 7.7 -£4.00 -30.8 5.30
Mrs S C Bradburne 2 26 7.7 -£17.25 -66.3 3.10
W Amos 1 13 7.7 +£21.00 +161.5 4.20
J C Haynes 1 17 5.9 -£6.00 -35.3 4.55
F P Murtagh 1 30 3.3 -£25.50 -85.0 3.10

Filed under: Horse Racing Saturday Stats

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