When looking for decent bets I often look to try and find a race with a poor value favourite – or at least a favourite I deem to be poor value! One race where we have a potential poor value favourite is the 6.00 at Brighton. Mick Channon’s runner Print won last time out and is currently favourite at 3/1. However, Channon’s record in handicaps at Brighton is woeful – just 7 wins from his last 154 runners. Of these, he has had 2 winning favourites from 12; 0 winning 2nd favourites from 25. Admittedly this is not a strong race, but I would be happy to look elsewhere in this contest.

The 3.10 at Folkestone probably gives us our best “in running” trading / arbing option. For Life is a bigger price than I expected (thought he would be around 5/1 and not 10/1), and hence gives us decent scope to back pre race and lay off “in running” – either for a bet to nothing; or an arb to win regardless of result. He is 10/1 on Betfair currently, but also 10/1 Best odds guaranteed at William Hills, Ladbrokes and Stan James. Surely he will trade lower than 10s “in running” as he is a prominent racer drawn ideally in 2.

Filed under: Daily Horse Racing Blog

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