Example of one aspect of Racing Trends
One aspect of my daily Racing Trends service (www.racingtrends.co.uk) is a sprint message. Here is today’s sprint message as a freebie.
Sprint Analysis for Sat 28 Aug 2010
Column explanation:
Horse – name of horse.
D – draw position.
OR – official handicap mark (official rating).
P – pace figure (same calculated pace figure you see in the main message).
Overall – stands for career record on the flat – the first figure is the career win percentage;
the figure in brackets in the number of career runs.
Course – stands for course record – same idea as before with the first figure being the course win percentage
for each horse; the figure in brackets in the number of course runs.
Distance – stands for distance record (in this case over 5f) – same idea as before with the first figure being
the distance win percentage for each horse; the figure in brackets in the number of runs over today’s distance.
High 12m OR – this column relates to the last 12 months and the best performances from each horse in
terms of official handicap mark (OR). The best winning performance would be shown; likewise the best placed
performance would be shown.
HC Band – this column relates to a horses performance in the relevant class of race.
DSLR Form – days since last run
DSLR – this column relates to a horses performance compared with the days since it has last run (DSLR). I have
grouped together the following: 1 to 4 days; 5 to 10 days; 11 to 21 days; 22 to 35 days; 36 to 60 days; 61 or more
days.
Beverley 4:05PM (5f)
| Horse | D | OR | P | Overall | Course | Distance | High 12m OR | HC Band | DSLR | DSLR Form |
| Hazelrigg | 1 | 73 | 2.5 | 9% (22) | - | 10% (10) | 68W / 73P | 0% (7) | 10 | 17% (6) |
| Espy | 2 | 60 | 2.2 | 11% (27) | 0% (1) | 18% (11) | - / - | 7% (14) | 17 | 9% (11) |
| Chosen One | 3 | 71 | 3.8 | 21% (28) | 50% (2) | 19% (16) | 68W / 68P | 15% (13) | 10 | 33% (3) |
| Wicked Wilma | 4 | 65 | 3.5 | 9% (44) | 20% (5) | 9% (44) | 61W / 66P | 5% (20) | 5 | 7% (15) |
| Galpin Junior | 5 | 72 | 2.5 | 14% (14) | - | 25% (4) | - / - | 0% (1) | 10 | 100% (1) |
| Silvanus | 6 | 68 | 2.5 | 14% (36) | 0% (2) | 19% (27) | 61W / 61P | 0% (11) | 8 | 10% (10) |
| Select Committee | 7 | 64 | 2.8 | 9% (43) | 15% (13) | 10% (41) | 68W / 68P | 16% (25) | 13 | 5% (20) |
| Poppy’s Rose | 8 | 72 | 2.2 | 11% (37) | - | 25% (8) | 69W / 69P | 13% (24) | 17 | 23% (13) |
| Rio Sands | 9 | 57 | 2.2 | 5% (38) | 0% (4) | 8% (26) | 56W / 57P | 0% (18) | 13 | 0% (15) |
| Comptonspirit | 10 | 74 | 3.2 | 12% (49) | 0% (1) | 12% (33) | 68W / 68P | 10% (31) | 10 | 17% (12) |
| King Of Swords | 11 | 63 | 2.2 | 11% (45) | 17% (6) | 12% (43) | 63W / 70P | 16% (31) | 13 | 17% (18) |
| Miss Daawe | 12 | 60 | 2.5 | 8% (48) | 17% (6) | 10% (31) | 57W / 57P | 13% (24) | 16 | 6% (17) |
| Caranbola | 13 | 69 | 2.8 | 14% (28) | 50% (4) | 23% (13) | 65W / 65P | 25% (8) | 16 | 8% (12) |
| Azygous | 14 | 49 | 2.8 | 8% (66) | 0% (5) | 8% (60) | - / 52P | 0% (21) | 17 | 9% (34) |
Conclusion: From the front end of the market, Caranbola looks likely to go very close on a course he likes. Of the outsiders I have had a small nibble on Bet 365 at 33/1 each way on Wicked Wilma.
Newmarket 4:30PM (5f)
| Horse | D | OR | P | Overall | Course | Distance | High 12m OR | HC Band | DSLR | DSLR Form |
| Tagula Night | 1 | 80 | 3.7 | 25% (12) | - | 50% (2) | 75W / 75P | 40% (5) | 17 | 0% (3) |
| Boogie Waltzer | 2 | 75 | 3.1 | 28% (18) | - | 38% (13) | 67W / 69P | 50% (2) | 19 | 40% (5) |
| Spanish Bounty | 3 | 82 | 3.3 | 11% (27) | 25% (8) | 0% (2) | - / - | - | 21 | 9% (11) |
| Luscivious | 4 | 80 | 3 | 15% (55) | 0% (5) | 18% (38) | 73W / 73P | 17% (12) | 7 | 12% (17) |
| Bougainvilia | 5 | 83 | 2.8 | 17% (6) | 0% (2) | 0% (1) | - / 83P | 0% (4) | 11 | 0% (2) |
| Sir Geoffrey | 6 | 76 | 3.8 | 17% (30) | - | 24% (21) | 70W / 72P | 8% (12) | 5 | 33% (3) |
| Billy Red | 7 | 77 | 4.8 | 15% (59) | 0% (3) | 12% (26) | 72W / 72P | 15% (13) | 24 | 0% (11) |
| Cheveton | 8 | 85 | 2.5 | 21% (33) | - | 33% (21) | 91W / 95P | 60% (5) | 11 | 17% (18) |
| Angus Newz | 9 | 78 | 3.7 | 16% (81) | 9% (23) | 16% (31) | - / 84P | 17% (6) | 15 | 15% (39) |
| Magic Cat | 10 | 85 | 3.2 | 25% (8) | - | 50% (4) | - / - | - | 322 | 0% (2) |
| Equuleus Pictor | 11 | 77 | 3.1 | 14% (44) | 0% (1) | 15% (34) | - / 85P | 13% (16) | 27 | 20% (5) |
| Highland Warrior | 12 | 67 | 1.5 | 11% (118) | 0% (1) | 14% (74) | 63W / 69P | 10% (31) | 9 | 9% (35) |
| Bel Cantor | 13 | 70 | 3.5 | 11% (100) | 0% (3) | 5% (20) | - / 84P | 3% (35) | 19 | 13% (39) |
Conclusion: Billy Red looks the pace option here for “in running” traders, although Bel Cantor and Sir Geoffrey can both lead.
Goodwood 4:50PM (6f)
| Horse | D | OR | P | Overall | Course | Distance | High 12m OR | HC Band | DSLR | DSLR Form |
| Gouray Girl | 1 | 87 | 2.3 | 20% (5) | 0% (1) | 20% (5) | - / 83P | 0% (1) | 12 | 0% (1) |
| Yer Woman | 2 | 90 | 1.8 | 31% (13) | - | 29% (7) | - / - | 0% (3) | 29 | 33% (3) |
| Mistic Magic | 3 | 92 | 3.3 | 13% (8) | 0% (1) | - | - / 92P | 0% (1) | 15 | 0% (2) |
| Rio Mist | 4 | 90 | 3.4 | 38% (8) | 100% (1) | 40% (5) | 81W / 81P | - | 64 | 0% (1) |
| Miss Faustina | 5 | 84 | 3.5 | 0% (1) | - | 0% (1) | - / 81P | - | 22 | - |
| Perfect Flight | 6 | 82 | 1.8 | 17% (24) | 29% (7) | 20% (15) | - / 82P | 25% (4) | 19 | 33% (6) |
| Alice Alleyne | 7 | 82 | 3.4 | 14% (7) | - | 0% (3) | - / 79P | 0% (1) | 28 | 0% (1) |
| Kerrys Requiem | 8 | 82 | 2.2 | 6% (35) | 17% (6) | 4% (25) | 82W / 85P | 8% (12) | 7 | 0% (11) |
Conclusion: trappy race which I will swerve.
Redcar 7:50PM (6f)
| Horse | D | OR | P | Overall | Course | Distance | High 12m OR | HC Band | DSLR | DSLR Form |
| Bentley | 1 | 49 | 3.1 | 7% (73) | 0% (2) | 6% (34) | - / 49P | 10% (40) | 8 | 10% (30) |
| Tanley | 2 | 54 | 2.2 | 5% (39) | - | 6% (17) | - / 55P | 9% (23) | 15 | 13% (15) |
| Carnival Dream | 3 | 53 | 3.2 | 3% (39) | 0% (6) | 6% (18) | - / 50P | 7% (14) | 20 | 10% (10) |
| Redwater River | 4 | 45 | 2.5 | 4% (27) | 0% (2) | 7% (14) | - / - | 0% (18) | 38 | 0% (1) |
| Major Monty | 5 | 55 | 3.2 | 0% (6) | - | 0% (2) | - / 55P | 0% (2) | 17 | 0% (1) |
| Sweet Mirasol | 6 | 51 | 2.8 | 7% (14) | - | 10% (10) | - / 49P | 17% (6) | 25 | 0% (5) |
| Forever’s Girl | 7 | 52 | 2.2 | 13% (24) | 0% (3) | 10% (10) | - / 51P | 25% (12) | 22 | 25% (8) |
| Dream Express | 8 | 50 | 2.4 | 9% (46) | 0% (3) | 5% (19) | - / 50P | 0% (16) | 20 | 5% (20) |
| Regal Emperor | 9 | 51 | 3.7 | 0% (7) | - | 0% (3) | - / - | 0% (3) | 15 | 0% (2) |
| Maison Dieu | 10 | 48 | 2.8 | 8% (52) | 0% (6) | 11% (35) | - / 60P | 4% (23) | 70 | 20% (5) |
| Isle Of Ellis | 11 | 45 | 1.5 | 0% (6) | 0% (1) | 0% (1) | - / - | 0% (1) | 31 | - |
| French Fantasy | 12 | 52 | 3.1 | 0% (7) | - | 0% (4) | - / 50P | 0% (3) | 18 | 0% (3) |
| Elkhorn | 13 | 49 | 2.2 | 9% (56) | 40% (10) | 9% (35) | - / 53P | 9% (22) | 15 | 4% (26) |
| Misterisland | 14 | 50 | 2.5 | 0% (21) | 0% (2) | 0% (8) | - / 51P | 0% (10) | 28 | 0% (2) |
| Commander Wish | 15 | 46 | 1.5 | 8% (53) | - | 0% (19) | - / 56P | 9% (22) | 31 | 13% (8) |
| Turf Time | 16 | 49 | 3.3 | 5% (21) | 0% (1) | 17% (6) | - / - | 6% (17) | 15 | 0% (8) |
| Angelofthenorth | 17 | 45 | 2.5 | 8% (53) | 0% (2) | 0% (12) | - / - | 0% (15) | 10 | 7% (14) |
| Silver In The Sand | 18 | 52 | 2.4 | 0% (7) | 0% (1) | 0% (3) | - / - | 0% (2) | 155 | 0% (1) |
| Port Ronan | 19 | 47 | 2.4 | 4% (26) | 25% (4) | 0% (11) | 45W / 51P | 0% (12) | 34 | 20% (5) |
| Emma’s Secrets | 20 | 45 | 2.1 | 0% (7) | - | 0% (1) | - / - | 0% (2) | 15 | 0% (1) |
Conclusion: not a race to get heavily involved in but Elkhorn goes well here and he would my each way choice to small stakes.
Filed under: Daily Horse Racing Blog
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